From Politico, to ABC yesterday, CNN today, & the NY Daily News Sunday edition. Finally, the mainstream media is starting to forecast what millions of Clintonistas have been saying this entire primary season.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/050 8/10585.html
Now that we pretty much have a nominee in Sen. Barack Obama, many in the MSM can now report what more than half of all registered democrats have been saying for the past 6 months.
By the way, this is Totally Unacceptable. A damaged and weakened Republican party with historical record high disapproval ratings still winning the Presidential race in November.
The Old Liberal Democrat party elders should be held fully accountable if this should occur in November. To annoint a nominee that received less registered democratic votes will have big repercussions if our party goes down in defeat in November.
Especially when All Accounts show that the "woman" democrat would defeat the Republican McCain by winning a landslide 300+ electoral votes.
Instead, what is ABC,CNN,Politico, & NY Daily news reporting?
" Sen. John McCain could win in November by an electoral college blowout. It would be a huge Republican Presidential win. Much bigger than the 35 electoral margin that carried President Bush over Kerry in 2004. It would mark a return to the 80's formula. While Democrats do well in local House races & increase their margins, we would once again lose the national race."
This is a very heavy price to pay of the sake of making racial history. Too big a price for the next 4 years.
By late October, please do not be surprised when John McCain is polling at 300 - 320 electoral votes.
Having a close national popular vote means nothing. Absolutely nothing. City after city, urban area after urban area can come out in record numbers in November. All that will do is keep the Chicago Democrat competitive in the popular vote.
But the only one that matters, the Electoral votes will be a totally different picture.
This should be the finally straw at the credibility of many so called " Left of Center netroots leaders" like Kos.
Since I read several diaries on Michelle Whitedove on Mydd & Dailykos in the last 90 days, let me give the followers of Michelle an Update on what she just posted on her website two days after Indiana/North Carolina primary.
This is Ms. Whitedove's response to the over 4,275 emails that she received the day after the Indiana/North Carolina primary.
Ms. Whitedove's was on CBS,CNN,FOX, HBO, PBS & Montel the whole of last week giving her predictions.
P.S. Michelle gained popularity by having predicted accurately the last 5 Presidential elections for both the GE & the Primary between 8 to 12 months before the actual primaries even started.
She was also named in January by Lifetime Television & HBO as the best american in the business. She beat out 37 of the best in america on live tv on her accuracy.
Here's her response to all the emails.
http://www.michellewhitedove.com/Blog-Cl intonObamaPsychicPredictionUpdate.php
Enjoy !
I am now in total agreement with several major political pundits like Dee Dee Myers, Pat Buchanan, Al Hunt, & Dick Morris regarding the GE chances of Sen. Barack Obama as the Democratic nominee in November.
First of all, Democrats as a party go into November 2008 with a big advantage never seen by either party since Reagan in 1984.
In fact, any other conventional democratic candidate whether Dodd, Biden, H. Clinton, Clark, Bayh, Edwards, Gore & even Kerry would be "HEAVILY" favored to win it all in November 2008.
Worse Economy, Worse war since Vietnam, worse Gas Prices since the 70's, highest foreclosures & job losses in two decades.
Its an Almost Perfect Scenario for the political opposition. In this case, the democrats.
This is probably as sure as any democrat will ever get. As close to Reagan's win over Mondale.
But will all that said, it looks like the democratic party has decided to go with the "Most Unconvention Candidate" ever in U.S. presidential history.
These pundits have said.... Make No Mistake about it....
With Obama as the Democratic nominee...
This Presidential election for 2008 with Obama as the nominee would turn this race into a REFERENDUM on Barack Obama. ( Most voters unless you're a die hard Bush Republican have already made their own conclusions about the failure of the Bush Presidency)
With the Unconventional Indentity wrapped politics of Obama, the only question for November is if american voters would vote for a candidate who is virtually unknown,untested, very little experience, an african-american liberal with an unsual name Barack Hussein Obama, but offers a Brand New promise of a New Kind of politics & hope.
Or, do they go with the safe, traditional candidate in the old, very experienced, independent minded John McCain.
It does not matter if you are a die hard Obama fan. One thing every democrat can agree on is the Obama candidacy in November would without a doubt be the "Highest Risk" taken of any democratic candidate in our bench.
Why take the risky candidate & gamble when we are heavily favored to win ? I don't know. Don't ask me why. Ask Nancy Pelosi & Ted Kennedy.
Why Most Risky? Well, the obvious...
a) Very Thin Resume ( even thinner than George W. Bush)
b) to his uncommon non-western name of Barack Hussein Obama
c) to his roots of growing up with a father & step father who are muslim ( with the U.S. being at war with two muslim nations)
d) to his Race as an African-American
e) to his less explored past since he is virtually a rookie in the national political stage
Can he win in November? Oh Absolutely ! Any candidate that Democrats field in November will have a fair shot at winning it all. The odds are just simply stacked against the GOP today.
But can he also lose ? Oh extremely possible! Can he end up losing by a big margin particularly in the Electoral college? Of course, very very possible.
Since Obama will be an unconventional candidate never seen before, anything unconventional happening is very possible.
See, with the conventional democratic candidates, this November will be Much More about the Bush Record & the Republican Party. The GOP will be at the defensive.
But with Obama, this election will be much more about Barack Obama himself rather than McCain or Bush.
Most if not all americans know who McCain is. Millions of americans have seen & followed him over the many years of his service.
The prediction that I have is in agreement with the pundits I mentioned above :
Obama will either win Big across america & carry not only blue states but carry states like Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, & Missouri.
OR
Obama will lose by an electoral landslide in November. He would lose even traditional Blue states like PA,NJ,NH,MA combined with being swept om battleground states like OH,FL,NM,NV,IA,WI,MN,CO.
It would be either a blowout win or a blowout loss with Obama as the head of the ticket.
It would either be a Bill Clinton 1996 type of electoral college victory or a 1988 Michael Dukakis type of electoral massive landslide defeat.
This won't be a close electoral college election either way.
Either places like NJ,PA,MA,,MO,NM, NH,IA,CO,VA All go for Obama on election night & we celebrate the biggest victory for Democrats in many decades OR we just Paid the Most Expensive Price ever as a political party for the sake of making history by nominating the 1st black person.
Either way, our party will never be the same again after the 2008 Sen. Obama show.
If indeed the "Old Liberal Guards" Jesse Jackson, Ted Kennedy, Nancy Pelosi & John Kerry have their way & ensure a Barack Obama nomination, congratulations to 75% of All democratic elected officials.
To All the Democratic Mayors in all 50 states, to All Councilors in every town & county in america, to State Senators in State Legislatures across the country, to assembly members in Upper & Lower state houses- YES, you are all hereby Qualified to be the Next President of the United States.
This is the real tragedy when Affirmative Action is officially extended to the Highest Office in the land.
Where else in America would you find a first time Senatorial Candidate being allowed to give a KEY NOTE address to a National Party Convention?
Yes, Congratulations. 75% of All Democrats in Federal, State & Local levels are now qualified to be President of the United States of America.
Thanks to the Barack Obama rule.
This is no different than a young & rising NBA star Chris Paul or Dwayne Wade being rushed to the Hall of Fame & join the ranks of Magic Johnson & Michael Jordan without the achievements or track record to speak of.
When a country is currently facing the worse economic, international & domestic problems, what do the liberal guards of our party do.
They nominate a candidate who is even less qualified than the current occupant of the white house.
Then 2000 Texas Governor George W. Bush was much more qualified than 2008 Illinois Senator Barack Obama.
( I wonder what happened to the thousands upon thousands of Kossacks & Mydd'ers ALL CALLING BUSH unqualified to be President back in 2000?
The only difference today? The rookie has a D next to his name.
Is our loyalty to our political party or to country ?
What's more important??? Practicing Affirmative Action or electing a politician who is tested & qualified to handle all these problems.
No wonder so many Latino Immigrants & Asian Immigrants have no intention of supporting Barack Obama in the Fall. Its all about values, meritocracy & being truly qualified.
Affirmative action was meant to protect citizens from discrimination. It was never meant to attempt to elect a person of color who is clearly not qualified to be President.
Giving exceptional & touching speeches is beatiful. Having graduated from an IVY League schools & being a lawyer is impressive.
But if that was the only qualification for being President, we have hundreds of young white,black, asian, jewish & latino democrats across america who would have those same qualifications.
Let me be the one of many of will repeat this 2008 prediction if Barack Obama is the nominee.
"2008 will be the lowest support for the Democratic presidential candidate in over 20 years among Jewish, Asian, Latino, Seniors & Whites. PERIOD!
And for the first time in two decades, a Republican John McCain will carry the White, Latino & Asian vote combined. It will also be the 1st Republican Presidential candidate to win over 40% of the Jewish vote."
Let's all talk on November 5th & see how the Massive Landslide defeat came about.
And I pray to God that Jerome Armstrong says to Markos & Bowers " I Told you so "
This will be one UGLY November!
May John Kerry & Nancy Pelosi resign from their leadership role after November.
As a business owner & a regular democratic donor for the last 20 years, how can I have confidence in a man who has had 3 to 1, 4 to 1 money advantages PLUS bias favorable coverage, yet, Cannot defeat an opponent.
This is the 3rd straight large state with a diverse population that Sen. Obama broke All Spending records for a primary but could not defeat a outspent, media punching bag opponent.
Sen. Obama will Not have 3 to 1, 4 to 1 advantages in November against Republicans. In fact, Democrats will be lucky to have any advantage at all in spending.
He will not have a total media favorable bias in November.
The Republican Party are locked & ready for a $ 150 million barrage waiting for Senator Obama.
This time-
Republicans would even wait for him to spend all his money because they will attack him massively 24/7
He won't have enough Black voters to carry states like NC,GA,AL,SC,MD,MS in November.
He won't have the bullcrap "delegate splits" in a winner take all november. No More delegate splits.
( If we had a GOP primary winner take all system, Clinton would win the nominee today)
He won't have enough black voters to prevent him from losing in landslides fashions in states like Ohio, Texas, PA, NJ.
(If not for the unprecendented 90-92% black vote for him, Clinton would have won OH,TX,PA,CA,NY by over 20 points !)
Come November, Blacks can vote for him at 99% & it won't mean crap in states like OH,PA,NJ,MO & so many states)
He won't have enough liberal whites & liberal youths to keep the count close in states like Massachusetts, NH & Connecticut.
Just like many democrats, I am rapidly losing confidence in Obama for November.
We are headed for a massive defeat at the expense of Not Offending African-American voters & Old white liberals like Pelosi, Kerry & Kennedy.
The longer non-partisan people are exposed to Obama, the more they realize that this guy is simply Not Ready to be President.
And the longer they are exposed to Michelle Obama, the more they realize that Cindy McCain would be a more fitting first lady. Class & Dignity fitting for a first lady.
Hillary Clinton should Not accept any VP slot.
An Obama led ticket will lead this party to our worst defeat since Mondale.
You can write that in stone.
The overwhelming Majority of Democratic business owners across the country will cross party lines if Obama is the nominee.
We have Enough problems to deal with. The last thing I want is a President who is not qualified.
We will fight for Hillary Clinton until the end.
A new SurveyUSA poll released today for Kentucky shows Sen. Hillary Clinton crushing Sen. Barack Obama, 58% to 29%, in the closed Democratic primary to be held on May 20.
Key findings: Clinton leads in all parts of the state including 4 to 1 in Eastern KY. She is beating Obama by 20 points among men, and is leading Obama by 37 points among women.
SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky shows Sen. Hillary Clinton crushing Sen. Barack Obama, 58% to 29%, in the closed Democratic primary to be held on May 20.
The release of this latest Gallup really takes us all to the BIG QUESTION.
What in the world kind of supposed Frontrunner do we have as Democrats ?
Lets look at some VERY DISTURBING facts from Gallup & results of this primary:
1)A strong percentage of his partymates want him to drop-out.
2) An even larger percentage of his very same democratic partymates will ABSOLUTELY NOT VOTE for HIM in November & many even plan to vote for his opponent McCain.
3)He has lost 7 of the 8 Largest Electoral College states in the country among his party mates. ( which All the matters in the General election Winner take all Electoral college count)
4)Or to be more direct, he has LOST 9 out of the 11 LARGEST Electoral College states in the country.
4) He is literally losing with his very own partymates among WHITE VOTERS at 65-35, among LATINO voters by 2 to 1, among ASIAN voters by 3 to 1, among Jewish voters by 2 to 1, and among Catholic voters by 2 to 1.
Did I miss something here? Are we attempting to elect a President of the United States of America or is he running to be President of the African-American community ?
How in the world can you expect this supposed Frontrunner
to win a National Election in November IF he cannot even carry ANY RACIAL or Ethnic Group WITHIN his own very party ?
A group of his partymates called democrats who HAPPEN to BE the MOST LIBERAL & OPEN group of Whites,Latinos,Asians, Jews & Catholics in america. Without a doubt, to the Left of White,Latino,Asian, Jewish & catholic registered Republicans!
So what the hell is WRONG with our Supposed Frontrunner?
No Poll, No Political Scientist, No Democratic Elder, No Expert Political Blogger NEEDS to Tell all of us that - ATTENTION DEMOCRATS - YOU HAVE A BIG BIG PROBLEM with your "SUPPOSED" FRONTRUNNER !
I don't claim to know what's wrong with him. But one thing I do now, this supposed Frontrunner of ours WILL LOSE this November 2008 my landslide margins NOT seen in over 20 years!
Democrats have to ask themselves. Are we trying to bring back memories of a Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis or our Democratic version of Barry Goldwater ?
Mr. Senator,
I am lifelong democrat & a successful business owner for 20 years now. My business branches are spread across 4 states. As my business grew, I have always made it a point to increase my financial support to the democratic party that I love & believe in.
I am part of thousands of proud Democratic business owners who are active members,shakers & officers of the National Chambers of Commerce. We have fought the Republican majority business owners in the Chamber who have always attempted to control the chambers agenda.
Mr. Senator, I have always stated my intention to support you 100% & vote for you in November if you were the nominee choosen by our party.
Although I am a Hillary Clinton supporter, I have always stated that I will support you over Sen. John McCain.
Despite being an ex-marine, I was willing to support you over the exemplary military credentials of Senator John McCain.
This was inspite of as much as 75% of Democratic business owners in the Chamber having the slogan of "Hillary Clinton in November or We Vote Republican", I have always resisted the temptation of joining that call.
Despite serious reservations on your readiness to be President, I was willing to give you the benefit of the doubt.
But all that changed after the shocking revelation of your disturbing 20 year relationship with an Anti-American bigot in Rev.Wright. No other american politician running for state or national office could survive this disturbing revelation.
In my Sunday conference call last night with democratic business owners spread across 12 states & attended by over 200 small & medium biz owners. These are business owners of all races. White, Jewish, Black,Asian, Latino, Middle Eastern.But for the first time ever, there was one voice. One agreement. One decision that was agreed upon by every single person in the call. And that is, Senator Barack Obama is DONE in his bid for the Presidency. When the moderator ask who plans to support Senator Obama in November, NOT A SINGLE VOICE was heard.
It ended with member after member strongly advising everyone to use our clout with Democratic Elected officials & ASK for the WITHDRAWAL of Senator Obama from this race.
We ended the call with one conclusion. Only Hillary Clinton has a chance to be President in November against McCain.
Mr. Senator, on behalf of my colleagues, I am respectfully asking you to STEP DOWN NOW & SAVE THIS PARTY.
I also respectfully withdraw my intention of supporting you in November. You do not deserve to be called Mr. President.
This is no longer a Republican vs. Democratic issue. Your despicable relationship with an anti-american racist has become a serious American Issue.
For a couple who are highly intelligent. For a couple who have reached the american dream, the highest valleys of Education, to be in the 1/2 of 1% of all americans in terms of education, you & Mrs. Michelle Obama have shown VERY POOR & VERY QUESTIONABLE judgements in associating with this man. 20 Years is a long time to be SLEEPING with Rev. Wright.
If you happen to somehow win the Democratic nomination, I together with thousands of democratic business owners spread across america will work for your defeat November.
Americans may be in dire need for new leadership. But make no mistake about it Mr. Senator, we are NOT that desperate. Senators Clinton or McCain will do just fine.
Its Time to Step Down Mr.Senator. Game Over.
· VIDEO: McCain Denies Economics Comments, DNC Releases Web Video Proving Otherwise (Matt Ortega)
· MN-Sen: Norm Coleman's record on education (MN Campaign Report)
· Liveblog: Obama in Colorado Springs (em dash)
· Pelosi Heads To Netroots Nation (Josh Orton)
· Moveon to make July 9 a "Day of Action for an Oil-Free President" (desmoinesdem)
· WA-8: Burner Loses Home to Fire (Sandwich Repairman)
· MN-Sen: Ethics Complaint Filed Against Republican Norm Coleman (Senate Guru)
· Richardson says Clinton would be a strong running mate (fbihop)
· NM-01: Heinrich Raises Nearly $100,000 on ActBlue (fbihop)
· MS-03 Outgoing Congressman Pickering Files For Divorce (cottonmouthblog)
· McCain Confuses Sudan and Somalia (Josh Orton)
· KY-02: SUSA- Boswell (D) 47, Guthrie (R) 44 (MediaCzech)